Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.009604 0.010845 0.012208 0.013819 0.015677 0.017756 0.020269
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.007575 0.009229 0.011209 0.013771 0.017019 0.021033 0.026413
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006230 0.007964 0.010159 0.013169 0.017236 0.022605 0.030338
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005475 0.007277 0.009664 0.013099 0.017992 0.024828 0.035306
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.005133 0.007066 0.009731 0.013740 0.019739 0.028572 0.042933
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004524 0.006402 0.009076 0.013244 0.019730 0.029704 0.046729
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004062 0.005893 0.008576 0.012895 0.019864 0.031018 0.050949
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003763 0.005589 0.008341 0.012911 0.020550 0.033263 0.057036
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003633 0.005526 0.008462 0.013492 0.022213 0.037329 0.066976
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003371 0.005231 0.008182 0.013376 0.022660 0.039322 0.073365
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003186 0.005040 0.008050 0.013489 0.023512 0.042135 0.081798
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002961 0.004764 0.007752 0.013274 0.023728 0.043765 0.088062
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002832 0.004645 0.007719 0.013556 0.024959 0.047624 0.100003
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002662 0.004443 0.007528 0.013530 0.025599 0.050414 0.110192
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002426 0.004107 0.007066 0.012939 0.025029 0.050581 0.114278
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002287 0.003932 0.006884 0.012870 0.025522 0.053104 0.124590
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002253 0.003944 0.007046 0.013499 0.027569 0.059402 0.145864
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002082 0.003689 0.006680 0.013012 0.027115 0.059844 0.151672
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001943 0.003485 0.006396 0.012670 0.026944 0.060935 0.159525
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001856 0.003374 0.006286 0.012686 0.027597 0.064149 0.174227
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001835 0.003387 0.006425 0.013255 0.029630 0.071191 0.202199
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001745 0.003259 0.006265 0.013142 0.029989 0.073903 0.217287
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.001683 0.003182 0.006206 0.013252 0.030920 0.078318 0.239133